Incarnate Word
Southland · 8-1 vs FCS · 10-1 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 29% of the time
Power
#1
+18.1 pts · likely #1–14
Strength of schedule
24.3
#109 of 130
Strength of victory
20.2
#57
Record SOS
0.444
Opp. 42.6% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
65.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Southern Illinois | W 64-29 | +7.7 | −1.8 | 0.418 | 2 | +37.9 |
| 3 | at Prairie View A&M | W 31-14 | +1.4 | +1.8 | 0.348 | 2 | +19.6 |
| 4 | at Southeastern Louisiana | L 35-41 | +9.8 | +1.8 | 0.570 | 1 | +6.1 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 48-20 | −6.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 14: vs Furman · p 0.513
- Wk 15: at Sacramento State · p 0.735
- Wk 16: at North Dakota State · p 0.701
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 55-41
- Wk 8: vs FaulknerNon-NCAA · W 70-0