Alabama State
SWAC · 5-3 vs FCS · 6-4 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#49
+1.9 pts · likely #32–81
Strength of schedule
29.1
#73 of 130
Strength of victory
21.3
#50
Record SOS
0.529
Opp. 54.9% · Opp. opp. 49.1%
Remaining SOS
3.7
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Alabama State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Howard | W 23-13 | +1.9 | 0.0 | 0.315 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 4 | vs Prairie View A&M | L 15-25 | +0.3 | −1.8 | 0.238 | 3 | −11.0 |
| 5 | at Texas Southern | W 16-13 | +2.6 | +1.8 | 0.378 | 2 | +7.1 |
| 6 | vs Jackson State | L 12-26 | +19.0 | −1.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff · p 0.037
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Miles CollegeDII · W 21-13
- Wk 2: at UCLAFBS · L 7-45