Northwestern State
Southland · 4-5 vs FCS · 4-6 overall
Strength of record
#72
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#82
−3.5 pts · likely #56–106
Strength of schedule
30.5
#63 of 130
Strength of victory
17.0
#69
Record SOS
0.458
Opp. 44.7% · Opp. opp. 47.9%
Remaining SOS
71.0
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northwestern State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 0-47 | +13.7 | +1.9 | 0.673 | 1 | −19.5 |
| 2 | vs (N) Grambling State | L 21-47 | −6.5 | 0.0 | 0.147 | 3 | −29.0 |
| 4 | vs Lamar | W 35-27 | −10.7 | −1.9 | 0.072 | 4 | −4.0 |
| 5 | vs Nicholls State | W 36-33 | −8.4 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 12: vs Incarnate Word · p 0.710
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Southern MissFBS · L 10-64