Yale
Ivy · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#30
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#25
+8.7 pts · likely #11–50
Strength of schedule
30.1
#62 of 130
Strength of victory
22.0
#46
Record SOS
0.532
Opp. 52.4% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
46.2
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Yale. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Holy Cross | L 14-38 | +11.2 | +1.9 | 0.611 | 1 | −10.0 |
| 4 | at Cornell | W 38-14 | −3.5 | +1.9 | 0.235 | 3 | +21.2 |
| 5 | vs Howard | W 34-26 | −2.7 | −1.9 | 0.179 | 3 | +4.5 |
| 6 | vs Dartmouth | W 24-21 | +0.7 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs Princeton · p 0.533
- Wk 12: at Harvard · p 0.392