Colgate
Patriot · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#84
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#89
−4.3 pts · likely #56–111
Strength of schedule
25.6
#103 of 130
Strength of victory
15.8
#69
Record SOS
0.490
Opp. 47.1% · Opp. opp. 52.7%
Remaining SOS
33.6
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Colgate. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Maine | W 21-18 | −1.2 | +1.9 | 0.286 | 2 | +2.8 |
| 3 | at Penn | L 14-25 | +7.4 | +1.9 | 0.508 | 1 | −2.4 |
| 4 | vs Holy Cross | L 10-35 | +12.2 | −1.9 | 0.537 | 1 | −14.8 |
| 5 | vs Cornell | L 31-34 | −5.7 | −1.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Lehigh · p 0.128
- Wk 12: at Fordham · p 0.545
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at StanfordFBS · L 10-41
- Wk 7: at ArmyFBS · L 17-42